Monday, February 3, 2014

How To Improve Your Trading In Feburary


Hello traders and MarketClub members everywhere! Welcome to the new trading month of February.


Today, I am going to do something a little bit different, I hope you enjoy the experience and find it educational and informative. To start with, I am going to analyze a static chart of the stock of Applied Materials, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMAT).


In addition to posting a single static chart on the blog, I am also going to be doing a video of that same chart. The video is short, to the point, and explains how I analyze stocks using the tools in MarketClub.


Today's in-depth analysis of Applied Materials shows a confluence of technical indicators that do not add up to a positive outlook for this stock. Remember, any analysis I do at MarketClub should not be considered a recommendation or an endorsement to buy or sell a particular security.



Click the chart to watch Adam's video analysis of Applied Materials Inc. (NASDAQ:AMAT)



There is an old adage in trading that goes like this, "they slide faster than they glide". Translated, that means stocks go down faster than they go up.


Here are the 8 technical aspects that could spell trouble for Applied Materials.


Chart Legend & Technical Picture (Black Numbers)


1. Major Resistance

2. All Trade Triangles are red and negative

3. Major support

4. Pivot point

5. Double top

6. Trend line and trend line break

7. Fibonacci retracement levels

8. RSI divergence with price action below 50


What Does This Company Do?


Applied Materials, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMAT) provides manufacturing equipment, services, and software to the semiconductor, flat panel display, solar photovoltaic (PV), and related industries worldwide.


To summarize, I expect the current (-90 Score) downtrend, in Applied Materials to continue. This outlook will only change if I see a change in the direction of the Trade Triangle technology.


If I am correct in my analysis, I could potentially see Applied Materials move down to the following Fibonacci retracement levels:

38.2% @ $15.07

50% @ $14.15

61.8% @ $13.22.


The 61.8% Fibonacci level of $13.22 also fits in nicely to the previous resistance level. The level of $13.22 should now act as support for this stock.


The double top/pivot point measurement if broken at the $16.40 level, indicates a move down to $15.00, which is very close to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level of $15.07 shown on the chart. These two measurements confirm one another and make a compelling case for this stock to trade lower in the weeks and months ahead.


Every success with MarketClub,

Adam Hewison

President, INO.com

Co-Creator, MarketClub



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