Thursday, February 26, 2015

Megaworld joins “super” consortium bidding for Laguna Lakeshore project


PROPERTY tycoon Andrew Tan has joined three other local corporate giants to form a formidable consortium that will vie for the P123.8-billion Laguna Lakeshore Expressway and Dike Project (LLEDP), one of the biggest infrastructure projects to be offered by the Aquino administration under the public private partnership (PPP) framework.


It was earlier reported that holding firm Aboitiz Equity Ventures, Inc. (AEV) and two other real estate giants Ayala Land Inc. and SM Prime Holdings Inc. had agreed to work on the project. On Friday, it was revealed that this is a four-way consortium with Tan-led property firm Megaworld Corp. as the fourth member.


The four groups agreed to form Trident Infrastructure and Development Corp. (TIDC) and work together to pre-qualify for the LLEDP and evaluate the feasibility of the project. Dubbed as “Team Trident”, the four members will each have an equal share of 25 percent.


By pooling resources, these four corporate groups aim to submit a “competitive” bid proposal for the much-awaited LLEDP. The project involves the construction of a 47-kilometer expressway, a 45-kilometer flood control dike and the reclamation of around 700 hectares of land in the western part of Laguna Lake.


“Team Trident” seeks to combine the infrastructure expertise of the Aboitiz and Ayala groups as well as the reclamation and land development experience of Aboitiz, Ayala Land, Megaworld and SM.


“The consortium also benefits from the combined financial muscle and the national and international network of experts that the four companies have, which will be able to benefit millions of Filipinos and thousands of businesses along the western shore of Laguna de Bay,” the consortium said.


“Trident brings together the expertise, experience, financial strength, and network that is needed to successfully execute a project the size and scale of LLEDP,” it added.



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Xurpas buys 51% of local IT firm Storm


NEWLY listed mobile content provider Xurpas Inc. has bagged a deal to acquire a 51 percent stake in local technology firm Storm Flex Systems for around $4.3 million, a breakthrough in widening its distribution capability from purely digital to the delivery of physical goods and services.


Storm has developed a proprietary platform that enhances the employee benefits system of some of the country’s leading local conglomerates, business process outsourcing and fast-moving consumer good companies in Metro Manila and Cebu, Xurpas said in a disclosure to the Philippine Stock Exchange on Friday.


The platform allows employees of any company that has signed with Storm to exchange their current employee benefits and transform them into a wide range of products and services — such as gadgets and dining, a private carpool system, doctor consultations on demand, all the way to donations for charitable causes.


By giving them the power of choice, the platform seeks to make employees happier and more productive, while their employers are seen to get substantial gains in their ability to attract, retain and excite people.


“At Xurpas, we have always said our business is simple: we tap networks which allow us to efficiently reach potential users, and we create or acquire the best products to sell to these users. Until today, we have been distributing digital products to users on mobile telcos’ networks. The acquisition of Storm signals our expansion into an entirely new distribution network, and into the selling of physical goods and services,” Xurpas president and chief executive officer Nico “Nix” Jose Nolledo said in a press statement.


“And because Storm’s clients are able to provide their employees with an effectively wider range of benefits, it is yet another example of how technology can provide companies an ‘unfair advantage’ in the most unlikely areas such as employee attraction and retention.”


Xurpas is a technology company specializing in the creation and development of digital products and services for mobile users. Its portfolio includes online casual games, messaging and the so-called social discovery applications, as well as call/SMS/data bundles, peer to peer mobile airtime credit transfers and mobile commerce.


Nolledo noted that since inception, Storm had demonstrated “truly exponential growth,” with revenue increasing five-fold over the 2013 to 2014 period.


“We are joining forces with Xurpas because we strongly believe that it is the ideal partner to help us realize our vision of building better employee lives through the provision of better benefits. We feel this partnership will allow us to achieve the next stages of growth and development in the region. There is a tremendous opportunity ahead of us,” said Peter Cauton, CEO of Storm.


Storm intends to use proceeds from this deal to accelerate growth locally and branch out to other markets in Southeast Asia. It currently serves 15,000 client employees, a number seen doubling this 2015 after the buy-in deal with Xurpas.


“The business has been running successfully for the past two years, and can boast of a truly astounding growth trajectory. It has a sound revenue generation model which is both unique and exportable to other markets. So we consider it as one of the great inroads to regional expansion,” said Nolledo.


This is the second and the largest acquisition so far by Xurpas after its successful initial public offering in December 2014. Shortly after its public debut last year, Xurpas bought a 21.7 percent stake in Singapore-based mobile gaming firm Altitude Games Pte. Ltd.


Trading on Xurpas was halted from 9 am to 10 am on Friday following the disclosure on this deal.



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PSE oks Metrobank’s P32B stock rights offer


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THE PHILIPPINE Stock Exchange has approved a plan by local banking giant Metropolitan Bank & Trust Co. to raise as much as P32 billion from the sale of new shares to existing shareholders.


The stock rights offering will run from March 23 to 27 this year. The offering will be priced on March 10 while tentative listing date is set for April 7.


Based on the indicative offer sheet, Metrobank plans to sell as much as 500 million shares with a par value of P20 per share. The rights shares will be taken out of the unissued capital of the bank.


Shareholders as of record date March 18 are eligible to subscribe to this offering. The rights entitlement ratio has yet to be set.


The lead underwriters are First Metro Investment Corp., JP Morgan Securities plc and UBS AG Hong Kong branch. HSBC Singapore branch is co-manager and co-underwriter.


This sale of new shares to existing investors will allow the bank to sustain a tier 1 or core capital adequacy ratio to risk assets of 13 percent even while expanding lending activities, Metrobank chair Arthur Thank you earlier said. For this year, Metrobank expects to sustain a double-digit growth in lending.


As of end-September, the bank had a total capital adequacy ratio of 16.2 percent and common equity tier 1 of 12.1 percent, both of which are well above the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas’ requirements of 10 percent and 8.5 percent, respectively.



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Wells Fargo websites show good credit how-tos


Path_to_Good_Credit_HP_Eng


SAN FRANCISCO – In response to a new survey showing 78 percent of Americans want to learn more about money management with 53 percent specifically wanting to learn more about credit, Wells Fargo & Co. launched Path to Good Credit, a series of interactive websites that offer consumers information about building and improving their credit.


Path to Good Credit allows consumers to navigate through quizzes, videos, tips and infographics that illustrate how good credit can help them succeed financially.


“We want to provide our customers with an informative and engaging experience that can help them chart a path to better credit.”


“Understanding how to manage credit is an important ingredient in economic self-sufficiency and success,” said Gary Korotzer, an executive vice president in Wells Fargo’s Consumer Credit Solutions Group. “We want to provide our customers with an informative and engaging experience that can help them chart a path to better credit.”


New websites


The new free Path to Good Credit websites offer:



  • Interactive videos, tips, infographics and quizzes, in English and Spanish, that allow consumers to test their knowledge and learn ways to build and rebuild their credit.

  • User-friendly content available via mobile devices for on-the-go lifestyles.

  • Key topics and tips on how to build and rebuild credit, like making minimum payments on time for every account and the importance of reviewing their credit report regularly to check for any incorrect information.

  • Clarity on common misconceptions about rebuilding credit, including the need to keep using credit even if a person has had credit trouble in the past.


The new sites join an existing Path to Good Credit site, launched in late 2014, that was designed to help millennials understand credit.


Ipsos, on behalf of Wells Fargo, surveyed more than 3,000 American adults ages 18 to 65 in June 2014 online to understand attitudes and perceptions of current economy and personal financial situations.


Weighting on age, gender, education, diverse segments and income was applied to the results to achieve a nationally representative population. The “How America Buys and Borrows” survey was first conducted in 2013 and will be conducted annually.


The survey also revealed



  • When respondents graded their understanding and management of money:

    • 39 percent grade their understanding of how credit scores work as average, below average or poor.

    • 43 percent grade their understanding of credit and loan products as average, below average or poor.

    • 43 percent grade their understanding of what banks consider when approving a credit product or loan as average, below average or poor.



  • 75 percent of respondents say having a good credit score is important, yet only 54 percent say they are proud of their credit score and 37 percent are concerned about their credit score.

  • 56 percent believe a person’s credit rating is a reflection of how responsible they are with money and 45 percent regularly monitor their credit report.

  • 2 in 5 feel more knowledge would increase their confidence in decision-making.

  • 2 in 5 aren’t fully confident they know enough to make good decisions about borrowing.



Disclaimer: The comments uploaded on this site do not necessarily represent or reflect the views of management and owner of INQUIRER.net. We reserve the right to exclude comments that we deem to be inconsistent with our editorial standards.


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Need funds? Consider tapping private equity


Danny Lizares

Danny Lizares



Private equity (PE) is not just a source of capital but is also a catalyst for growth and expansion.


While owners of businesses can tap the debt markets (where bank loans are currently low and long-term financing readily available), owners who need some form of “hand-holding” can look more towards PE institutions where the alignment of interests plays a critical role in enhancing shareholder value and attaining a vision.


Danny Lizares, country head of international PE firm Abraaj, answers questions about funding growth companies.


QUESTION: Why is private equity (PE) better than getting bank loans, crowd sourcing or getting friends/relatives as partners?


ANSWER: PE has its strengths and drawbacks and, ultimately, it is up to the sponsors/owners of the business to assess whether they see a fit with an outside party investor and their overall strategy and funding requirement.


If the sponsor is simply looking for low-cost credit, then a bank loan will do as a PE fund provider (or any other equity investor) provides high cost of money that is much more than a bank debt.


On the other hand, if the entrepreneur is looking over and above financing cost such as value add in terms of strategic direction and insights, promotion of ESG principles (environment, safety, governance), adoption of best practices, development of KPI (key performance indicators), tapping the funders’ regional or global network and resources, leveraging on those connections, among other value enhancing strategies, then a PE fund would be the logical choice.


Moreover, a PE investor would normally require board representation and representation to key committees of the company. Usually, the PE takes on a pro-active role in the company by contributing in terms of growth strategies but not in day-to-day management. The purpose of all these initiatives is ultimately to enhance shareholder value.


Q: What is the ideal company you look for when investing?


A: A PE fund, in contrast to a venture capital fund (VCF), will only invest in companies with a proven track record and is looking for growth capital to expand an already operating and flourishing business.


Whether the business is sustainable in the coming years, a thorough discussion and evaluation must be made by the potential investor, the owners, and the management team.


The VC fund, on the other hand, is usually a focused or dedicated group that targets specific sectors or industries, and employs sector specialists. It is prepared to invest even on a start-up basis and, as you would expect, requires higher returns for the higher risks they take.


Q: What arrangement will make PEs comfortable in terms of percent ownership, board representation and veto power, and exit timetable?


A: Equity investors will require certain minority rights, and different investors have different requirements.


As a baseline, investors will require board representation (although some may not or may not qualify given their equity stake) clear use of proceeds, and minority consent on matters involving the sale and purchase of assets. Other common minority shareholder rights are tag-along rights, anti-dilution rights, and remedies in the event of a breach or default.


Nurturing companies and helping their owners create value takes time and, as such, we take a long term view in making investments, and five years on the average is sufficient for the type of sectors we invest in.


But the most critical aspect that PE investors look for in assessing a company is, whether there is an alignment of interests with the founder or major shareholder. No matter how good a business is, if there is no alignment of interests with the sponsor, then there is no point in making the investment.


Q: When your group exited a chain of restaurants in 2014, your internal rate of return (IRR) for 8 years was much more than putting your money in the bank. But you made much more in a hospital. What factors do you consider as attractive for each industry? What is the usual premium ceiling you are willing to pay to protect your IRR?


A: The risk a PE is exposed to should be compensated by the return it expects.


Certain businesses may be cyclical than others, and the owner or management team has no control of external variables. Other businesses flourish regardless of global conditions.


Export-oriented businesses are cyclical, and one has to take a view of the business and where it’s at in the cycle. Businesses like food retail, healthcare, education and logistics, tend to be robust and are unaffected by global conditions.


Risks can be further mitigated if the company has a profitable track record, strong brand equity, manageable debts, alignment of interests with the owner, a professional management team and, beyond these, a credible growth strategy.


In terms of returns to the fund, we look more at cash multiples (the absolute amount of money) that is generated by the investment more than the IRR. The returns are highly influenced by your entry and exit price, the cash flows the investor receives in the interim, which is a function of the overall health of the business.


It goes without saying that, as shareholder value is built up over time, both the owners, investors, management teams, and other stakeholders benefit.


Q: Instead of straight equity infusion, when do private equity invest in companies by way of convertible loan notes, where the PE has the right to convert loan to equity at predetermined prices?


A: Different funds have different approaches. It’s a common practice by PE funds to invest in quasi-equity instruments like convertible notes or preference shares while investing in common shares or a combination of all these.


Each type of instrument has a different impact on the balance sheet. A convertible note may be booked as a liability while preference shares will be booked under capital accounts.


A PE evaluates the balance sheet of the company to be able to structure the right instrument, taking into account minority rights and the risk profile of the business in the event it does not go well, or even from a bankability point of view.


Q: PEs impose a “put” option when the key result areas (KRAs) agreed with owners are not met for consecutive years. When is this option really exercised?


A: A “put” is an exit measure that is usually the last option. Only after a careful deliberation and study on why targets fell below budgets, and having exhausted remedies would the PE consider invoking the put option.


Prior to that, an investor will sit with the owner and the team to discuss corrective action plans, defining the action, assigning accountability and setting a time frame.


The corrective action plan may include hiring the right person for the job. If, despite these measures having been set, the KRAs still lag behind and there appears to be neither solution nor willingness on the part of the owners and/or management team to implement the measures, a fund could then resort to the put.


Violations of the terms of investment agreement could also trigger an early put.


Q: For companies expanding, how much investment can you offer? How long does due diligence take and what do you look for in due diligence?


A: The fund I work for will look at investments were there is a need of $15 million or more. In the event the business opportunities require much more, we can explore co-investment, or a separate fund also operated by us could be tapped to provide that particular funding need.


From the time a term sheet or letter of interest is signed, from my experience, it would take about 3 months to disburse the funding requirement.


In terms of due diligence, these would fall generally under three categories: legal, commercial, and financial. Depending on the complexity of the business, other types of consultants or industry or technical experts may be brought into the due diligence.


Q: Can you share with us your personal highs and lows in the course of your investments, or lessons learned in private equity?


A: I have always found the practice of private equity a fruitful and fulfilling experience. I say this because, once an investment is made, the real work begins.


PE requires a long term commitment on the part of the investor and owners and the management in driving the business towards a common goal.


As investors, we do not purport to know more than the owners who built the business. But given our knowledge and investment experience in similar businesses, we can share various insights to help enhance the companies we invest in.


As I mentioned earlier, our investments and track record has been very encouraging. The companies that have adopted best practices, good governance and ESG principles—recognizing investors as genuine partners—have grown substantially throughout our investment holding period, and their values have been validated in the public markets or by third party investors. This is the part that makes PE rewarding.


On the other hand, I have seen companies that have resisted change, adopting best practices and governance. Owners who value loyalty over ability tend to lag behind in our overall investment portfolio, and within their peer groups or industry. It is frustrating.


(Josiah Go is chair of marketing training firm Mansmith and Fielders Inc. and Day 8 Business Academy for SMEs. For the complete interview, as well as interviews with other thought leaders, please log on to www.josiahgo.com)



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To subscribe to the Philippine Daily Inquirer newspaper in the Philippines, call +63 2 896-6000 for Metro Manila and Metro Cebu or email your subscription request here.


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The Proof Is In The Pudding …That's What My Grandmother Always Told Me


Guess what? Grandma was right!


On February 11th, I posted a blog titled, How To Successfully Play The Earnings Game And Win 95% Of The Time.


This blog posting generated a tremendous amount of feedback from our members, so much so that I decided to once again play the earnings game and pick out 5 stocks that were going to release their earnings either after the close or before the markets opened the next trading day.



I rely on Yahoo’s earning calendar to find out what stocks are scheduled to release earnings and at what time they will release them, after the market close or before the market opens the next day.


Here are the five stocks I picked out and decided to buy based on the Trade Triangle technology:


Salesforce.com Inc. (NYSE:CRM) closed on 2/25 at $62.93

Avago Technologies Limited (NASDAQ:AVGO) closed on 2/25 at $112.68

Workday Inc. (NYSE:WDAY) closed on 2/25 at $94.02

L Brands Inc. (NYSE:LB) closed on 2/25 at $92.47

Sprouts Farmers Market Inc.(NASDAQ:SFM) closed on 2/25 at $37.02


I'll be looking at all five of these stocks today and sharing with you why I picked them and how you can do the same thing with stocks that are reporting tonight or tomorrow morning.


Ideally you are playing the percentage game, and you want to buy in equal dollar amounts of each stock. For example, let's say you buy 100 shares of Salesforce at yesterday's close. That would come to $6293. If you purchased 100 shares of Avago Technologies at the same time, that would be $11,268. Now let's say the next day, Salesforce closed out the day up 10% and Avago closed down 10% for the day! You would have lost money, even though the percentage move in each stock was the same. Losing money is not the object of this game.


Had you invested equal amounts of money in each stock, you would actually be in flat which means you wouldn't make any money, but you wouldn't have lost any money either. Your only cost would be the cost of the commission to trade the stocks. It is very important to keep your dollar amounts equal for each stock you buy. The important element here is to buy more than one stock, that way you are diversifying and spreading your risk at the same time. It is also providing you with more opportunities to make money.


Now there are three ways to play the earnings game using MarketClub’s Trade Triangle Technology. You must have the weekly and monthly Trade Triangles the same color, either both green or red. It doesn't matter if those green or red Trade Triangles came in a week or six months earlier, providing they match before earnings are announced. If you are going to buy a stock before earnings, only do so when the Trade Triangles are green. If you're going to short a stock looking for bad earnings, you will have to have both a red weekly and monthly Trade Triangle in place to do that.


After you have purchased several different stocks (remember, diversification lowers risk), here are three different strategies on how you would exit those stocks the next day.


1. You exit all your positions on the opening following the earnings announcement. (simple and clean)

2. You exit half of your positions at the opening and the exit the remaining shares on the close. (requires more finesse)

3. You exit all of your positions at the close of business. (simple and clean)


Remember, this is a short term trading strategy, you are not getting married to a stock, it is not a position strategy like we use in our intermediate or long-term Trade Triangle strategies.


This earnings approach is simply meant to take advantage of very short terms moves in the marketplace, and it is not for everyone. It is also not a guarantee that every position is going to make money, there will be losses. However, I firmly believe that if you diversify and approach this strategy systematically, picking shares that match the criteria I described above, that you will make money.


If you have any questions or comments about this strategy, please leave them below this post.


Every success with MarketClub,

Adam Hewison

President, INO.com

Co-Creator, MarketClub



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Solar Stocks Heat Up


Adam Feik - INO.com Contributor - Energies


I wrote about oil refiners – and the phenomenal performance of their stocks – on Monday. Today I'm writing about another energy sector that has been hot the last few weeks; namely, solar stocks.


Let's take First Solar (Nasdaq:FSLR), for example. Here's a stock that's gone from $70/share 6 months ago to $40/share 1 month ago, and now almost back to $60.


FSLR's all-time high is over $300, back in the summer of 2008. The stock spent the rest of '08 crashing, but then stabilized until February 2011, when FSLR peaked around $175 before crashing all the way to $12 in May 2012 (see chart from Yahoo! Finance, below). From that low point, FSLR enjoyed a nice, even, steady uptrend for the next 2 years. On June 20, 2014, when oil peaked at just above $107/barrel, FSLR was trading around $70 per share. FSLR's $30 haircut from June 2014 – January 2015 almost perfectly coincided with oil's big decline. Solar investors, of course, understand that solar becomes a more attractive energy alternative when oil prices are high, and vice versa.


First Solar (FSLR) Moving Average Analysis


Now, since the end of January, FSLR has started outperforming the broader energy sector, as represented by XLE (see chart below). Today, in fact, FSLR surged past its 200-day moving average.


First Solar (FLSR) 200 Day Moving Average


Of course, investors interested in solar could choose to simply invest in the Guggenheim Solar ETF (NYSEArca:TAN). With a net expense ratio of about 0.71%, TAN tracks an index of about 29 solar stocks. FSLR comprised about 8.18% of TAN's holdings as of 2/24/15, according to Guggenheim. Further, slightly less than 50% of TAN's geographic weighting goes to U.S. companies. China weighs in at nearly 23% of the fund’s assets, and Hong Kong-based manufacturers amount to about 21%.


FSLR's performance over the last 30 days (through Feb. 24th) exceeds TAN's performance by a score of +23.1% to +19.0%, according to Morningstar. FSLR's margin of victory will have widened after markets close on Feb. 25th, assuming its +7% daily gain holds up. However, TAN has slightly outperformed FSLR, over the last 3 months and 12 months, and has significantly outperformed FSLR over the past 3- and 5-year periods.


Nevertheless, FSLR is an established player with a solid balance sheet and a robust sales pipeline. Furthermore, FSLR's management has demonstrated strong capabilities in the past, and is now working on aggressive projects to reduce the cost of solar power and expand the enterprise. One risk (to either FSLR or TAN) could be lower demand if, in fact, U.S. government incentives go away after 2016, in accordance with current law.


Whether you prefer FSLR, TAN, or another way to play this sub-industry, keep in mind solar power made up only about 0.32% of all power consumption in the U.S. in 2013 – but that's up from 0.07% in 2007, and the rise has been steady. Wind power, incidentally, has seen similar gains and is a little farther along the adoption curve, comprising about 1.64% of U.S. consumption in 2013. First Trust has a global wind energy ETF (NYSEArca:FAN) that's been trading range-bound for the last 6 months after a 4-month, 25% decline last summer.


Best,

Adam Feik

INO.com Contributor - Energies


Disclosure: This contributor does not own any stocks mentioned in this article. This article is the opinion of the contributor themselves. The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. This contributor is not receiving compensation (other than from INO.com) for their opinion.



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