Thursday, November 28, 2013

Asian shares boosted after Wall St record, dollar rallies



People are reflected on the electronic board, which shows the US dollar rate against the Japanese yen, top left, at a securities firm in Tokyo, Thursday, Nov. 28, 2013. Asian markets climbed Thursday—with Tokyo hitting a near six-year high—following a Wall Street rally, while the yen sank on comments from a Japanese central banker hinting at further monetary easing. AP PHOTO/KOJI SASAHARA



HONG KONG—Asian markets climbed Thursday—with Tokyo hitting a near six-year high—following a Wall Street rally, while the yen sank on comments from a Japanese central banker hinting at further monetary easing.


The Japanese currency was sitting around six-month lows against the dollar and a four-year low against the euro.


Tokyo surged 1.80 percent, or 277.49 points, to 15,727.12—its highest since mid-December 2007—as exporters benefited from the softening yen.


Seoul rose 0.84 percent, or 16.96 points, to 2,045.77, while Sydney was flat, edging up 1.4 points to 5,334.3.


Shanghai ended 0.83 percent higher, adding 18.30 points to 2,219.37, while Hong Kong succumbed to late profit-taking to end flat, edging down 17.26 points to 23,789.09.


While analysts said US trade had been subdued this week owing to Thursday’s Thanksgiving holiday, investors managed to run up new records in New York.


Official data showed first-time claims for US unemployment benefits fell 10,000 last week to 316,000.


That overshadowed disappointing durable goods sales, with the Dow ending up 0.15 percent Wednesday and the S&P 500 adding 0.25 percent—both at record highs.


Also, the tech-heavy Nasdaq rose 0.67 percent to end above 4,000 for the first time since the end of the dotcom bubble in 2000.


The dollar rose in New York to highs not seen since the end of May after Bank of Japan board member Sayuri Shirai said it “should not hesitate” to take additional easing steps if the economy’s recent revival stalls or inflation refuses to rise.


In afternoon Tokyo trade the dollar was at 102.17 yen, compared with 102.16 yen in New York Wednesday and well up from the 101.50 yen seen in Asia earlier Wednesday.


“As the market begins to consider the possibility of a Fed taper in December… and further BoJ action likely in the new year, we feel that the current move could be the beginning of the next step change,” foreign exchange strategists at Credit Suisse said in a note to clients.


The yen has tumbled against the dollar this year as the government and BoJ embark on a big-spending policy blitz and monetary easing campaign aimed at stoking economic growth and inflation. However, while the economy saw impressive growth initially there are fears the effects of the spending may be waning.


The euro continued to be supported by news that German Chancellor Angela Merkel had finally agreed a deal to form a coalition government to lead Europe’s biggest economy.


The single currency bought 139.10 yen compared with 138.71 yen in New York, sitting at highs not seen since June 2009. It also fetched $1.3605 compared with $1.3576.


On oil markets New York’s main contract, West Texas Intermediate for January delivery was down one cent at $92.29 in afternoon Asian trading. Brent North Sea crude for January rose 12 cents to $111.43.


Gold fetched $1,241.77 per ounce at 1045 GMT compared with $1,252.73 on Wednesday.


In other markets:


– Bangkok fell 0.99 percent, or 13.66 points, to 1,359.45.


Coal producer Banpu was up 0.84 percent, or 0.25 baht, to 30 baht, but energy giant PTT Plc dropped 1.02 percent, or 3 baht, to 292 baht.


– Jakarta slipped 0.41 percent, or 17.56 points, to 4,233.93.


Mobile phone service provider Telekomunikasi Indonesia jumped 1.18 percent to 2,150 rupiah, while Bank Permata slid 2.96 percent to 1,310 rupiah.


– Kuala Lumpur gained 9.14 points, or 0.51 percent, to 1,807.60.


YTL Power International added 0.5 percent to 1.94 ringgit, while Axiata Group rose 0.6 percent to 6.70. Financial firm CIMB Group Holdings lost 0.1 percent to 7.59 ringgit.


– Manila surged 1.92 percent, or 116.09 points, to 6,169.96.


Philippine Long Distance Telephone increased 1.77 percent to 2,650 pesos, while SM Prime Holdings was boosted by 1.26 percent to 16.02 pesos, and SM Investments advanced 2.47 percent to 748 pesos.


– Mumbai climbed 0.56 percent, or 114.65 points, to 20,534.91.


Private Suzlon Energy soared 8.76 percent to 9.93 rupees while engineering giant Bharat Heavy Electricals rose 3.04 percent to 150.85 rupees.


– Singapore added 0.45 percent, or 14.31 points, to 3,186.37.


Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation rose 0.58 percent to Sg$10.50, while Singapore Airlines gained 0.38 percent to Sg$10.53.


– Taipei rose 0.80 percent, or 66.55 points, to 8,362.43.


Leading chip design house MediaTek climbed 1.52 percent to Tw$435.0 while Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. was unchanged at Tw$105.0.


– Wellington edged up 0.21 percent, or 10.10 points, to 4,809.46.


Auckland Airport added 1.6 percent to NZ$3.47 and Air New Zealand climbed 2.1 percent to NZ$1.67, while Fletcher Building slipped 0.8 percent to NZ$9.15.





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PH stock index bounces back at 6,169.96


MANILA, Philippines—Local stocks rallied back to the 6,100 level on Thursday on reports that the Philippines had posted its fifth straight quarter of more than 7-percent gross domestic product growth in the third quarter.


Firming up for the third straight session, the main-share Philippine Stock Exchange surged by 116.09 points or 1.92 percent to close at 6,169.96, likewise aided by a strong regional market.


Local equities were perked up by news that Philippine GDP growth was at 7 percent in the third quarter, bringing the nine-month expansion to 7.4 percent.


“Although the result came below consensus expectations of 7.1 percent year-on-year, it was suppressed by a high base effect and the adverse impact of 10 typhoons in third quarter,” British bank Standard Chartered said in a research note.


Stanchart said it was maintaining its forecast of 7.2 percent GDP growth for the country this 2013 and 6.7 percent in 2014. For the fourth quarter, it was expecting GDP growth to remain resilient at 6.4 percent year-on-year.


“The Philippine economy looks to cap the year on a stronger footing amid a solid, albeit slightly slower, third quarter GDP growth of 7 percent,” Metrobank said in a separate note, adding that the robust GDP growth could be mainly attributed to the strong performance of the manufacturing sector, still solid investment spending, and rebound in external trade.


Metrobank has thus kept its full-year GDP forecast of 7 percent for the Philippines this year.


At the local stock market, value turnover for the day amounted to P6.78 billion. There were 98 advancers, which trumped 53 decliners while 44 stocks were unchanged.


The day’s biggest PSEi gainer was still Philex (+6.51 percent), following reports that the country’s largest mining firm had restored a damaged tailings storage facility to a level of stability. Other top gainers were EDC (+6.04 percent) and Megaworld (+5.42 percent).


RLC and BDO rose by over 4 percent while Jollibee was up by over 3 percent. ALI, Globe, SMIC and AP were all up by more than 2 percent.


The 7 percent GDP growth posted by the Philippines for the third quarter was the highest recorded in the Southeast Asian region and second to China’s 7.8 percent growth for the period.


“The sustained expansions in investment spending and the manufacturing sub-sector continue to provide the needed boost to GDP growth,” Metrobank said.


Metrobank said the impact of the calamities that struck Visayas in the latter part of the year would likely dent fourth quarter growth, with the agricultural sector largely taking the beating. “However, the reconstruction and rehabilitation efforts will lift GDP growth next year,” it said.


“External risks remain amid the tapering of the US QE (quantitative easing) program, slackening in some emerging economies, and continuing troubles in Europe’s credit markets,” Metrobank said.


QE refers to the US Federal Reserve’s aggressive bond-buying operations meant to inject additional liquidity and stimulate the world’s largest economy.


RELATED STORIES:


PH economy grows by 7% in Q3


Philippines says typhoon ‘Yolanda’ to cap economic growth at 7.0%


Philippine economy grows 7.0% in July to September





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PH economy grows by 7% in Q3


Gov’t spending, more industrial investments cited


By





FILE PHOTO



MANILA, Philippines—The Philippine economy expanded by 7 percent in the third quarter from a year ago, staying on as one of the fastest-growing economies in Asia.


This was according to the National Statistical Coordination Board, which announced Thursday that the growth rate for the third quarter brought the average for the first three quarters of the year to 7.4 percent.


The Philippines’ growth rate for the third quarter was the second fastest in Asia for the period, behind China’s 7.8 percent.


It was, however, slower than the 7.3 percent registered in the same period in 2012.


Arsenio Balisacan, director general of the National Economic and Development Authority (Neda) attributed the slowdown to the adverse impact of unfavorable weather conditions to the agricultural sector as well as lower net exports due to anemic global demand.


He said that the growth rate, nonetheless, stayed in the 7-percent territory because of higher government spending and higher private sector investments in the industrial sector.


For the fourth quarter, the NEDA expects the economy to slow down to a range of 4.1 and 5.9 percent due to the adverse effect of “supertyphoon Yolanda.”


For the full year, the Neda projects economic growth to settle within the range of 6.5 and 7 percent.


The government’s official growth target for this year is set at a band of 6 to 7 percent.


RELATED STORIES:


Calamities may push more Filipinos into poverty–Neda


Neda chief confident of hitting 7% GDP growth


Enrile grills Neda chief on population, economics



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Tags: Arsenio Balisacan , Business , economic growth , economy , government spending , Gross Domestic Product , industrial sector , industries , National Economic and Development Authority , Philippine economy , Philippine government



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Wednesday, November 27, 2013

Philippines says typhoon ‘Yolanda’ to cap economic growth at 7.0%







Economic Planning Secretary Arsenio Balisacan. INQUIRER FILE PHOTO



MANILA, Philippines – The Philippine economy is expected to grow about seven percent in 2013, as expansion in October-December is stunted by this month’s devastating typhoon, the government said Thursday.


Economic Planning Secretary Arsenio Balisacan said super typhoon “Yolanda” (international name Haiyan) would cut up to 0.8 percentage points from gross domestic product growth in the last quarter of the year.


His comments came as official data showed the economy, one of Asia’s best performing, expanded 7.0 percent in the three months to the end of September.


That compares with a 7.1 percent median forecast by economists polled by the Wall Street Journal.


“We are doing very well. Even with the deceleration of growth because of ‘Yolanda,’ (full-year) growth of 7.0 percent is ‘doable’ assuming no more disasters,” Balisacan told a news conference.


This, he added, would still make the Philippines one of the world’s fastest-growing economies, behind China.


Before “Yolanda” struck, officials had been confident the country would surpass the government’s full-year growth target of 6.0-7.0 percent because of the rapid expansion in the first half.


Damage from the November 8 typhoon that officials said left more than 7,000 people dead or missing will cut GDP growth in October-December period by 0.3-0.8 percentage points, Balisacan said.


Growth for the final three months is now expected at around 7.0 percent.


The economy grew 7.4 percent in the first nine months of the year, up from 6.7 percent in the same period last year, said Jose Albert, secretary-general of the National Statistical Coordination Board, told the news conference.


A property boom and the services sector were the main drivers of the economic expansion, he said.



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Tags: Arsenio Balisacan , Business , economy , Growth , Haiyan , Weather , Yolanda



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Philippine economy grows 7.0% in July to September






MANILA, Philippines—The Philippine economy grew 7.0 percent in July to September, the government said Thursday, maintaining its robust clip before a deadly typhoon devastated the country this month.


“The domestic economy grew by 7.0 percent in the third quarter,” Jose Albert, secretary-general of the National Statistical Coordination Board, told a news conference.


Gross domestic product growth in the first nine months stood at 7.4 percent, compared with 6.7 percent in the same period last year, Albert added.



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Tags: economy , Forex , Philippines , Trade



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India’s suffering doubles as economy weakens—poll







An Indian woman drinks water as she sells fruits on a pavement in New Delhi, India, Thursday, Nov. 21, 2013. Higher prices for food and fuel has hit hundreds of millions of poor Indians living on $2 per day particularly hard because they spend roughly half of their income on the staple items. AP



NEW DELHI – Suffering in India has more than doubled in recent years with one in every four Indians now bearing the brunt of the nation’s sharply weaker economy, a global poll released Wednesday showed.


The increase in “suffering” in the nation of 1.2 billion people had a ripple effect across South Asia – which led the world in suffering – owing to India’s strong economic ties with its neighbors, Gallup said in a statement.


“The significant deterioration in Indians’ well-being is likely to be rooted in the country’s disappointing economic performance,” the US-based pollster worldwide said.


“Average suffering in India more than doubled between 2006 to 2008 and 2010 to 2012. In 2012, a full quarter of Indians were suffering.”


Gallup classified respondents to the survey as “thriving,” “struggling,” or “suffering” according to how they rated their current lives and future prospects on a scale of zero to 10.


According to Gallup, suffering on average has increased worldwide in recent years. Fourteen percent rated their lives poorly enough to be considered suffering in 2012, up from 11 percent in 2006-08.


South Asia topped the regions for suffering, with the Balkans, Middle East and North Africa tied for second-place with 21 percent.


“Suffering in the (South Asian) region has increased enormously since the beginning of the global financial crisis, averaging 12 percent between 2006 and 2008, and 22 percent between 2010 and 2012,” Gallup said.


Australia and New Zealand were the countries considered most thriving, with just two percent of their population seen as suffering.


India’s economic growth sunk from 9.4 percent in the first quarter of 2010 to 4.4 percent in the second quarter of 2013, the worst quarterly rate since 2002.


Data on Friday is expected to show growth still below five percent, despite efforts by the scandal-tainted Congress government to revive the economy before elections due by May.


The survey comes after a political row in India over how to accurately measure poverty, with the government issuing figures in August showing poverty has been slashed by a third since 2004.Â


The government said 138 million Indians had emerged from poverty between the fiscal years 2004/05 and 2011/12, leaving the official number of poor at 269 million.


The World Bank in a recent report said India has the greatest share of the world’s poorest – one-third living on $1.25 a day or less – or 400 million.


Gallup said its results were based on interviews with 230,083 adults in 2012 in 143 countries and that the poll’s margin of error was less than one percentage point.



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Tags: Business , economy , India , Poverty , world



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